The moneyline in the NHL, as with all sports, is theoretically the simplest way to place a wager. All you are doing is picking the winner straight up in a given contest, however it requires much more strategy if you want to make it worthwhile. To account for the relative ease 토토사이트 with which someone is able to win by betting on heavy favorites, sportsbooks lay the odds in a way that forces you to bet big on moneyline favorites in order to win any sizeable amount of money. Yet, this is where the NHL is unique. Whereas a heavy favorite in the NFL would be anywhere from (-300) to (-1000) and up, a heavy favorite in the NHL may only be (-140) to (-300) on the high end. This is largely due to the variability of the NHL forcing oddsmakers not to place too much confidence on games where underdogs almost always have a legitimate chance to win.

While this can make it harder to confidently bet on favorites, it simultaneously allows for more realistic underdog betting. What is key is bearing in mind that those making the odds likely know something that you do not, and thus it is important to always be cognizant of what the lines are set at when making your wager.

Naturally, teams that are favored win more often than underdogs. This is true in all sports betting. One positive of chalk betting in the NHL is that you generally have much better odds to work with, even with favorites, than with other sports. Given that you can almost never rule out underdogs however, it is crucial that you are selective with the favorites that you select. Take this matchup between the Florida Panthers and the Columbus Blue Jackets for example. The Blue Jackets are favored at (-125) with the Panthers being underdogs at (+105). When looking to bet favorites this is a game that you should consider avoiding. The Blue Jackets are narrow favorites and clearly the oddsmakers don’t have too much confidence in the game going one way or the other. Given that the Panthers have the momentum right now and are looking to build on a 5-game winning streak, it is easy to see why the margin here is narrow.

Because of the intangibility of momentum in hockey, it is best to look to bet on favorites where metrics like these are not in the equation. Take a matchup between the Montreal Canadiens and the Calgary Flames in which the Flames are favored at (-145) and the Canadiens are underdogs at (+125). Both teams have been on and off as of late but the Flames are clearly the better team at this juncture with a very high-powered offense. With no external factors being apparent, this would be a game in which you could side with the favorite and feel confident doing so.

Moneyline parlays are a great way to increase the monetary value of betting on favorites. This is especially true when making NHL parlays because even the odds on favorites are less extreme than in other sports. Because of the exponential nature of parlay odds, this can make even parlaying favorites a lucrative approach.

With fixed odds, a two-team parlay pays out at 13/5, a three-team parlay at 6/1, a four-team parlay at 10/1, and a five-team parlay at 20/1 odds. Though the evolution of these odds becomes more and more tempting, for consistency’s sake, you are better staying in the 2-3 wager range when making parlay bets. Say there are 6 NHL games in a given night and you want to do a 6-game moneyline parlay with all of the favorites. Because you get 40/1 odds with a 6 piece parlay, the payout on even a small bet with all favorites in the (-120) to (-300) range would be many times more than what you wagered. Particularly in a sport like the NHL, this is a longshot. Of those 6 games it is almost a statistic certainty that an underdog would win 2 or more. This is why it is better to both single out certain matchups that you like in particular, and then make smaller more calculated parlays using these matchups.

A good approach to parlaying moneyline favorites is to take 1-3 games where you have the most confidence in the favorite (perhaps reflected by the odds for those games), out of all of the contests for that day. Say for example that the Minnesota Wild (-250) are favored over the Vancouver Canucks (+210). This is a pretty large odds margin for the NHL and likely means that there is a reason to be confident in the Wild even if it is not automatically apparent why. At the same time, look for other matchups where you feel the odds may not be totally indicative of the matchup. In this instance, the Nashville Predators are favored at (-140) over the Arizona Coyotes at (+120). The Predators are currently the best team in the NHL and the closeness in these odds likely reflects the fact that the Predators have lost their last 2 games. But, one of those games was an overtime loss and the last game involved the Predators coming back from a 3-goal deficit to ultimately lose by 1. While the Coyotes are no slouches this year, the Predators defense is top notch and they are likely to be hungry for a win on this road trip.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.